Avoiding military confrontation with Iran

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Given the risk of a major military confrontation between the United States and Iran, and the possible involvement of Israel in military action, ORG is engaged in a substantial programme of analysis of the risks of war and its likely consequences.

Following a similar programme prior to the start of the Iraq War in 2003, which turned out to be remarkably prescient in its assessment of the consequences of that war, ORG has held a series of roundtables and meetings with government, and published several reports, including Iran: Consequences of a War and Would Airstrikes Work?

ORG plans to extend its work to a study of alternatives to military action. We are also planning various US-Israeli-Iranian Track II meetings. In March 2007, we hosted Iran’s Permanent Representative to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Dr. Ali-Asghar Soltanieh, for a series of off-the-record consultations, meeting with NGOs and press interviews in the UK.

We are coordinating much of our work on Iran with other partner NGOs, aid groups and religious organisations through Crisis Action and the Iran Action Group. One of the main aims of ORG and the Iran Action Group has been to make it politically unacceptable for the British government to support military strikes against Iran. In February 2007, Crisis Action published Time to Talk: The Case for Diplomatic Solutions on Iran, a joint report from 15 organisations, including ORG.


Resources

Chronology of Iran's Nuclear Programme, 1957-2007

International Security Monthly Briefings


Publications

Iran's Nuclear Programme and Regional Security
Dr. Farhang Jahanpour, April 2007

Would Air Strikes Work? Understanding Iran's Nuclear Programme and the Possible Consequences of a Military Strike
Dr. Frank Barnaby, with a foreword by Dr. Hans Blix, March 2007

Voices of Aggression: Exploring Israeli-Iranian Rhetoric
Dr. Farhang Jahanpour, March 2007

Want to ease tensions with Iran? Just try talking
Gabrielle Rifkind, February 2007 (The Independent)

Time to Talk: The Case for Diplomatic Solutions on Iran
Crisis Action, February 2007

What Lies Beneath the Rhetoric
Gabrielle Rifkind, December 2006 (Haaretz)

Iran's Nuclear Threat: Exploring the Politics
Dr. Farhang Jahanpour, June 2006

Iran's Nuclear Activities
Dr. Frank Barnaby, March 2006

Iran: Consequences of a War
Professor Paul Rogers, February 2006

Addressing the Challenge of Iran
NPT Briefing 15, BASIC/ORG, April 2005

Endless War: The global war on terror and the new Bush Administration
Professor Paul Rogers, March 2005