Avoiding Military Confrontation with Iran

Given the risk of a major military confrontation between the United States and Iran, and the possible involvement of Israel in military action, ORG is engaged in a substantial programme of analysis of the risks of war and its likely consequences.

Following a similar programme prior to the start of the Iraq War in 2003, which turned out to be remarkably prescient in its assessment of the consequences of that war, ORG has held a series of roundtables and meetings with government, and published several reports, including Iran: Consequences of a War and Would Airstrikes Work?

ORG plans to extend its work to a study of alternatives to military action. We are also planning various US-Israeli-Iranian Track II meetings. In March 2007, we hosted Iran’s Permanent Representative to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Dr. Ali-Asghar Soltanieh, for a series of off-the-record consultations, meeting with NGOs and press interviews in the UK.

We are coordinating much of our work on Iran with other partner NGOs, aid groups and religious organisations through Crisis Action and the Iran Action Group. One of the main aims of ORG and the Iran Action Group has been to make it politically unacceptable for the British government to support military strikes against Iran. In February 2007, Crisis Action published Time to Talk: The Case for Diplomatic Solutions on Iran, a joint report from 15 organisations, including ORG.

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