Avoiding Military Confrontation with Iran

Given the risk of a major military confrontation between the United States and Iran, and the possible involvement of Israel in military action, ORG is engaged in a substantial programme of analysis of the risks of war and its likely consequences. Much of the Iran work is confidential and needs to remain below the radar. 


ORG is committed and involved in creating high level dialogue. The aim of such an arena is for constructive exchange between a small number of individuals at a senior level in Iran, the US and the UK to help make a contribution towards unlocking the paralysis in the current negotiations.

The aim of creating this setting is to build a climate in which both informal and off-the-record discussions can take place. Critical to the effectiveness of these meeting is not to set an agenda or preconditions, but to generate an environment of mutual respect, within which different ways of understanding the conflict can be explored. It is hoped that common interests can be established and areas of mutual concern explored.

Whilst these conversations are unofficial and sit outside the diplomatic process, whenever appropriate, they will be fed back to governments in order to present new ways of thinking that can make a contribution to the resolution of the conflict.

ORG has published several reports, including Iran: Consequences of a War and Military Action Against Iran: Impact and Effects. We hosted Iran’s Permanent Representative to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Dr Ali-Asghar Soltanieh, for a series of off-the-record consultations, meetings with NGOs and press interviews in the UK, in March 2007.


Gabrielle Rifkind

Gabrielle Rifkind is the Director of the Middle East programme at Oxford Research Group (ORG). She is a group analyst and specialist in conflict resolution. Gabrielle combines in-depth political...

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Aniseh Bassiri

Aniseh Bassiri Tabrizi is a freelance Researcher for Oxford Research Group's (ORG) Middle East programme, focusing on our Iran project. She is a PhD candidate in Middle East and Mediterranean...

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Sara Hassan

Sara Hassan is Programme Manager to Oxford Research Group's (ORG) Middle East programme. Prior to joining ORG, she spent four years as a Middle East Analyst with IHS Global Insight’s country...

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Sir Richard Dalton

Sir Richard Dalton is Advisor to Oxford Research Group's (ORG) Middle East team. He was formerly a member of the British Diplomatic Service. Richard Dalton has served as Consul-General in Jerusalem (...

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Assistant Prof Scott Kemp

Scott Kemp is Advisor to the Oxford Research Group (ORG). Scott is Assistant Professor of Nuclear Science and Engineering at MIT.  From 2010-2011, Scott served as Science Advisor in the State...

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Giandomenico (Gianni) Picco

Gianni Picco is Consultant and Advisor to Oxford Research Group (ORG). He worked for some 20 years (1973-92) at the United Nations. Gianni Picco led the task force which secured the cease-fire...

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